The WP has two main objectives:
i) to overcome the dichotomy between planning scenarios and current flood forecasting systems by developing a concept of impact-based scenario, based on seamless deterministic-probabilistic prediction from the real-time to the long-term climatic scales,
ii) to develop methods for effective real-time decision-making with uncertain forecasts, which makes it possible to transform probability measures of flooding into context-aware risk mitigation actions.
